Tag Archive for: coronavirus

Mobile Gaming Hits $9.7 Million Daily Revenue

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Mobile gaming is continuing to grow in popularity. Mobile games are too generating impressive amounts of profit for game developers. GoldenCasinoNews have found the five leading iOS gaming apps in the US hit a whopping $9.7M in daily revenue as of April 2020. Thats $2.7M of daily profit. While Roblox represents the top grossing US app store for April

Mobile Gaming reaches $5 Million in Daily Revenue

2019, Roblox Mobile hit more than $1BN in lifetime revenue. While 67% of that came from the US alone. The kid friendly game reached over 290M downloads. Furthermore Google Play downloads made 75% of that amount, yet, it was Apple users more likely to spend in game. With iPhone and iPad spending account for 76% of the revenue.

Fortnite came in 2nd in the US with a total of $2.3M of daily income for April, revealed by Statista data. Fortnite, owned by Epic Games, became the leading free to play game in 2019, reaching a total of $1.8BN of revenue.

Both Roblox and Fortnite, two leading mobile iOS gaming apps in the US, garnered over $5M of daily revenue for April. This accounts for $1.8M of daily profit. With Candy Crush Saga coming in 3rd for the most profitable mobile game in the US app store.

Coin Master Hit $1.7 Million 

4th is Coin Master. Statistics show that the popular single player game, which was created by Israeli studio Moon Active. Hit $17M of revenue and over $2M of downloads last month.

PUBG Mobile -2nd Anniversary came in 5th in April. Hitting $1.4M daily profit. Last month the free to play multiplayer game hit 11M downloads and $23M worth of revenue worldwide. With $1.7 million daily, Coin Master ranked fourth on this App Store list. Statistics show the popular single-player mobile game created by Israeli studio Moon Active hit over $17 million in revenue and more than 2 million downloads globally

(GoldenCasinoNews)

 

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Coronavirus

Coronavirus: Are you helping to flatten the curve?

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Drastic measures have been put into place to stop the spread of Coronavirus. Every country affected by the Coronavirus have put in varying levels of lockdown to help dampen and flatten the curve until many of us can go back outside again. But what would happen if we do go out?

Coronavirus Explainer: What if you go out?

  • You go out and visit friends and family
  • However, you don’t display any symptoms of COVID-19 and think that you are safe.
  • Turns out you have COVID 19 but don’t show any symptoms whatsoever
  • When visiting friends and family you pass it on to 2 of your friends and a grandparent
  • Each of those go on to visit their own friends and members of their family
  • According to scientific modelling, those affected, on average, without social distancing in place, will pass on the virus to 3 other people.

Spreading Coronavirus

  • As a result out of one infection, cases will soon start to spread quickly and far outside your own network
  • Most of those infected, however, would experience either mild symptoms or have a nasty flu like experience, making a full recovery. Some would require hospital treatment.
  • According to scientific modelling by Imperial College London, about 4.5% of those infected would need to be admitted to hospital
  • The same model predicts that out of 100 people, 30 would need a critical care bed.
  • However the NHS face problems as out of those 30 people only 1 person can receive a bed once the pandemic hits peak
  • Therefore NHS doctors face dilemma’s as to who does and who doesn’t receive the bed
  • Should Patient A, a 78 year old retired teacher and grandmother of 7 get the bed. Or Patient B, a 68 year old retired fire fighter who is the sole carer of his wife who has Alzeihmers disease?

Overcoming the disease

  • The Imperial team have assessed various different ways of reducing the number of people needing the NHS’s critical-care beds.
  • The team discovered that if people experienced symptoms and those who lived with them. Stayed home for 2 weeks. Whilst those over 70 reduced social contact and kept it to a minimum. The impact on the NHS would be reduced.
  • However, even with this measure it still leaves 8 patients needing 1 bed.
  • Therefore the team discovered that if social distancing measures applied to everyone. Schools and Universities closed. The two week quarantine period applied to households who had people living in them that showed symptoms. Then the NHS can cope.
  • This would then lead to the NHS being able to cope with the number of patients in their wards at the peak of the pandemic
  • However, despite all these measures. Those in places where demand happened to be above average, NHS services would still be be strained.
  • The research undertaken by Imperial College has been very influencial. The approach explained here is similar to what UK government ministers have implemented. The NHS, so far, has not been overwhelmed largely because of social distancing and lockdown measures.

2nd Wave

  • Though, we have to be careful.
  • As, as soon as the measures are lifted, the research predicts that another outbreak could occur. Which would be just as bad if we had done nothing this time round.
  • There are only 2 ways out of lockdown. A development of a vaccine. Or a more effective way of testing people, tracing all those who had come into contact with those who were tested positive.
  • Since the research was released, so far there has been a huge effort to increase the number of critical care beds available, up from 5,000 that the NHS had at the time
  • To keep the curve flat, we must stay at home and work from home where possible. It is vitaly important.

(BBC)

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Corona Cuts

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(HuffPost)

People are stuck at home for extended periods of time. So as a result people’s trims are getting a little out of hand. As people are lending their hands to cutting their own hair, Corona Cuts, if you will. When people can’t go to the barbers or hairdressers, the barbers/hairdressers will go to them. By that we mean a pair of scissors/razor and the mirror and a lot of trust in your own ability. Or the person you’re living with’s ability to cut hair.

While we would advise to let the hair just grow long and tackle it once this is all over. Some of you out there are taking the brave decision to just have a go yourself.

As a result some of the atrocious attempts have made their way online. Therefore the internet has interneted and a social media account has spawned. The instagram named Corona Cuts has spawned. As you would expect, this social media account highlights people’s attempts. While Corona Cuts also highlights the good, there’s also as you’d expect the bad and well some are terrible.

It’s just hair right? It’ll grow back!

Check the gallery below for some of our favourite attempts!

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Play At Home – Sony’s FREE Games

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Sony have recently announced the “Play At Home” initiative. For a limited time Sony are offering two free games to PS4 owners: Journey and The Nathan Drake Collection. Starting today April 15th until May 5th 8pm. While owners in Germany and China will be given Journey and Knack 2. 

But wait….Sony already offered those games last month as part of the Playstation Plus membership. Sony did, but this time round regardless if you are an active Playstation Plus subscriber, you’ll have access to these games. Unless you didn’t already download them of course.

Play At Home: Download Speeds.

While this is all good and Sony wants you to stay in and be entertained whilst on quarantine, they also want to remind you that downloads may take a little longer. Last month Sony announced it was working with internet providers to slow game download speeds. So they can help preserve internet access in the US and Europe. As there was an increased usage during the current pandemic.

Furthermore, Sony’s new initiative (Play At Home) also includes a $10M creative fund to help indie game developers. Who are undergoing financial hardships due to the Coronavirus pandemic.

Independent developers are vital to the heart and soul of the gaming community and we understand the hardships and financial struggles that many smaller gaming studios are facing. With that, SIE has developed a fund to support them during this time. We have earmarked $10 million to support our independent development partners. More information about the fund, including participation criteria, will be made available soon.

During these days of physical distancing, fans have turned to gaming for moments of respite and enjoyment. At Sony Interactive Entertainment, we are privileged to bring this much-needed entertainment. We know this is just one small step and we are thankful to be able to offer this support to our players, our communities, and our partners. Jim Ryan CEO and President of Sony Interactive Entertainment

(The Verge)

 

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Quarantine Queries

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The guys over at Chartr use Google Trends to gather up lovely data for us all to look at. A LOT of it is very interesting. At a time like this where we are all in quarantine, what better time to look at the data. So they checked out Google trends to map out ways we’re living differently.

First of all, a lot of us are googling ‘What is Zoom’. Why is this important? Well a few months ago Zoom only had 10 million users. Now? Well, there’s over 200 million users.

“Bars Near Me” has been replaced with “Wine Delivery”. Those who are looking for puzzles may be digging out old copies of the sims.

Furthermore “Gym Membership” search queries has been replaced by “Online Yoga”. While no one is searching for “Hot Outfit For A Date” and “Weekend Getaway” anymore.

Also, no one is searching for “Bus or Train Timetables”, people are searching for “Buy A Desk”, but not “Buy a Suitcase”. While people searching on “How To Watch Harry Potter”

 

Harry Potter is childhood nostalgia and comfort. Therefore it makes sense as to why people are searching for Harry Potter and are re-watching them during quarantine.

Quarantine Potter

Chartr have plotted the number of mentions of Harry Potter books against the screen time of those characters, across all 8 movies. This is so they can see which of the characters were relatively promoted during the transition period from book to screen.

The results showed that the film adaptations of the books, did a pretty good jon. As most of the main characters were promoted well. This suggests that the producers did stick faithfully to the books. However, this could be down to how closely JK Rowling worked on the makings of the films.

Screen Time

However, some characters did in fact do better! Lucius Malfoy was mentioned 249 times. Which would equate to 6 minutes of screen time. Yet he got more than 15 minutes. Narcissa also got more screen time. Though many of the Weasley family, Bill, Percy and Molly got less screen time.

The above chart shows 100 most mentioned characters that got at least 1 minute of screen time. Though some didn’t make it into the films at all! For example Ludo Bagman got 250 mentions in the books. Though he never made it into the movies. Bagman was the head of the Department of Magical Games and Sports. Peeves the Ghost, Winky the crouch family elf or Charlie Weasley didn’t make the cut either.

Mad Eye Moody also got hit hard. Though his screen time may be attributed to Barty Crouch Jr who pretended to be him in the Goblet of Fire.

Overall though the data suggests a very good adaptation of the books, and the screen did well to portray the book. Which is good considering the over 4200 pages of source material.

 

Technology has served us well in quarantine too. Data from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics has shown an interesting trend in the US over the last 45 years.

Things produced in the US per hour (Productivity) has gone up 120% since 1970. While the compensation of workers has gone up by little over 50%. Why aren’t they closer together like before 1975?

Well, it could be attributed to globalisation, bargaining power, minimum wages, public policy and legislation all impact how wages are determined.

Quarantine Robots

Technology is getting better and better. More and more people are being replaced by technology. Which on the surface of things is a good thing. A factory worker could go do what he/she wants. The new car people want to buy is cheaper as it was made by a robot, which works more productively and up to 24 hours a day.

However, if retraining is difficult or there isn’t as much competition, the company will reap all the benefits. Which in turn will result in the transfer of income from labour to capital owners. While studies suggest consistently that technological change decouples wages from productivity.

The chart is not intended to show a political point but to stimulate debate when many jobs which are deemed lower skill are absolutely essential to our survival.

While a study from McKinsey suggests that “about half of all the activities people are paid to do in the world’s workforce could potentially be automated by adapting currently demonstrated technologies”. Automation is coming, and if we manage it properly it could be wonderful for millions of people.

(Chartr)

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6 Ways An Apple Watch Can Keep You In Shape!

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Apple Watch is a great way to help you stay fit, it’s a great fitness helper and an incredible gadget too! So, why not get involved and find out how the Apple Watch can help you stay fit. While not just in lockdown but also when we return to regular old normal day to day life!

1. Activity Sharing


At times like this, people feel more isolated. So why not get involved with the Activity Sharing features! While this is a great time to try it out with your friends. As it’s a way to make keeping in shape fun! Furthermore it can boost your spirits. As it can be just as much about being active. As it is about staying connected and social! Get out there and challenge your friends and family!

 

 


2. Activity Competitions

So as we stated in #1, you can set competitions. While more specifically, activity competitions! Yet, it doesn’t have to be about winning and losing. So just set a goal that is easy to hit. Therefore aim to tie each other or max out the points for a certain number of days. Simple! Therefore a simple shared goal can be a fun addition to the week for you and your friends. Help each other stay connected. Motivate one another. While staying fit!

3. Stand Reminder

Also, don’t forget to pay attention to the stand reminder! Use it as an encouragement to get active. Not just a notification to ignore! Just walk around the house/flat if you can’t go out. So just do a few minutes every hour over 12 hours. Therefore it can really add up over the course of the whole day

4. Awards

So, remember competitions? Check out Awards tab in the Activity app on iPhone. Compete with yourself and go for an award you haven’t received yet

5. Mindfulness

While, the Breathe app is an easy way to take a few minutes during the day to reset. As your mental health is just as important as your physical!  Furthermore, there are also many guided meditation apps on the App Store to select!
Also, whilst you’re doing so, why not check out new podcasts on Apple Podcasts or playlists on Apple Music!

6. Apps


While it’s a great time to explore the App Store on iPhone or Apple Watch, get moving! Download apps which encourage group fitness classes or live classes! Experiment with activities and try some in the privacy of your own home!

 

 

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21 Apps for Fitness While In Lockdown

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First of all, fitness has never been more important than ever now we’re all in lockdown. So our good friends at Apple have curated a great collection of iPad/iPhone Apps to stay active during this time. Also, Apple Watch also is important during this time as it helps to keep us all meeting our daily goals.

Work Out at Home: 

“You’ll find a great mix of body-weight exercises and workouts that require minimal equipment — with trainers to guide you through the routines. Get moving! Now you have no excuses.” So, explore the full collection here.

 

1.Fiit

So Fiit, lets you take high quality workouts with leading personal trainers on your iPhone or iPad, with the option to connect to your TV. While there are hundreds of home workouts with top personal trainers, all in one place.

2. Wakeout! 

(Andres Canella) – So this was in the App of the Day & Best of 2017 selection: “Having trouble getting out of bed? Feeling lethargic? Furthermore are you stuck in your head? Wakeout’s short, energizing workouts can give you the jolt you need.”

 

 

 

3. Nike Training Club

App Store Editor’s Choice: “Getting in shape can be a challenge, so making exercise fun and engaging is crucial to staying on the right track. This Nike fitness app features a polished collection of visual workouts, hosted by celebrity athletes like Serena Williams. It’s equally effective at home or at the gym. While each lesson can be taken on its own, Nike Training Club also features month-long structured programs that’ll help you achieve even better results.” So, why not try the free fitness videos in categories like “Workouts in Small Spaces.”

 

4. Zova

App Store Editor’s Choice: “This Apple Design Award winner focuses on one thing—fitting short, achievable exercises into every week—and does it really well. The custom-shot videos are presented in a clean, thoughtful interface. So, this impressive fitness trainer really shines on Apple TV by creatively using Siri Remote to make workouts (almost) painless.”

 

5. Aaptiv

#1 Audio Fitness App & App Store Editor’s Choice: “Let’s say you’re doing a treadmill exercise. You know, the kind where you occasionally change the speed and incline. Do you really need a video of someone telling you “it’s time to go faster?” Nah. Aaptiv packs great audio-only classes for all those workouts that just don’t make sense for video. Smart design, great music, and a huge library of classes make even the most hardcore exercises enjoyable.“

6. Centr, by Chris Hemsworth

Whatever your goal, age, sex or fitness level, this app puts the world’s best trainers, chefs and well-being experts in the palm of your hand so you can get it done. And it’s all tailored to you; your goal, fitness level and diet preferences. It’s your PT, dietician, chef and wellness coach all in one.

 

 

7. Jillian Michaels Fitness App

Sweat to the free 7 minute workout or get beach body ready with unlimited access to Jillian Michaels Fitness award winning personalized health and fitness app with the most advanced dynamic workout planner along with diet plans, calorie counter, and weight loss programs in the Jillian Michaels Fitness Advanced Meal Planner System (AMP)!

 

8. Playbook – created by trainers

Playbook is a mobile marketplace where your favorite trainers, social media influencers, and athletes share their real-time workouts. Each trainer/influencer/athlete has their own channel, which allows them to publish their workout programs directly to you in real-time. You only get their 10 latest workouts – it’s always new, but also means you have to keep up!

9. Tone It Up: Workout & Fitness

Whether you exercise at home, head to the gym or are just getting started with a workout routine, Tone It Up is the fitness app for you. Tone It Up offers daily workout and customized workout programs built by top personal trainers for incredible results.

 

10. Seven – 7 Minute Workout

Getting fit has never been this easy – or this much fun. Seven’s workouts are based on scientific studies to provide the maximum benefit in the shortest time possible. With personalized workout plans Seven also makes sure you get the most out of your training. Want to Get Fit, Lose Weight or Get Strong? Just set your goal and fitness level, and let Seven take care of the rest.

11. Fitplan: Gym & Home Workouts

Get top-tier personal training for a fraction of the price with Fitplan. Work out one-on-one with professional athletes Alex Rodriguez, Christian McCaffrey and Ryan Lochte, celebrity trainers Melissa Alcantara, Corey Calliet and Mike O’Hearn, and fitness leaders Jen Selter, Michelle Lewin, Linn Löwes, Jeff Seid and more.

12. Fitbod Gym & Home Workout Log

Get stronger, lose weight or gain muscle mass with Fitbod! When you hit your gym or living room, Fitbod’s innovative training algorithm will guide you through the right sets, reps, and weight to reach your fitness goals.

Yoga

Yoga for Everybody: “Whether your headstand form is impeccable or you’ve never heard the word ‘vinyasa’ there’s a yoga app to suit your needs. We’ve picked out a few of our favourites for all experience levels.” Explore the full collection here.

13. Asana Rebel: Get in Shape

From losing weight to building strength, from high-intensity workouts to moving meditations: each piece of Asana Rebel is meant to fit every goal into your lifestyle.

 

14. Yoga Studio: Mind & Body

App of the Day & App Store Editor’s Choice: “As anyone who has ever worn stretchy pants and nervously wandered into a studio can attest to, yoga involves countless poses across multiple skill levels—some of which can seem frighteningly out of reach. Fortunately, Yoga Studio covers the full gamut with 65 video classes that can be done from the comfort of home. There are general classes for beginners. Prenatal classes for expectant moms. Yoga classes for mental health, yoga classes set to hip-hop, and yoga classes specially designed to combat back pain. There’s even a Desk Series you can do during a break at work.”

 

15. Lotus

App of the Day & App We Love: “Use your newfound body awareness and the Lotus app to create a practice just for you. Set parameters such as preferred style, duration, and level of expertise and the app will customize your sequence.”

 

 

 

 

 

 

16. SWEAT: Kayla Itsines Fitness

App Store Editor’s Choice: “Yogi Sjana Elise Earp has a 12-week vinyasa-style program in Sweat. Subscribe for access to her class and other video workouts.”

 

 

17. Yoga & Meditation by Glo

Glo is online yoga, Pilates, and meditation designed to help you feel better in body and mind. Practice at home or on the go with the world’s best teachers. Yet, with classes for every life stage, level, and need, we’ll help you create a practice that’s uniquely your own.

 

Fitness Live Apps

Try Live Fitness Apps: “If you have some open floor space (and nonjudgmental roommates), you have everything you need to join these exercise classes, each with a live instructor to motivate you every step, stretch, and spin of the way.” So why not, explore the full collection here.

Weights

18. Peloton — Live workout classes

So, Transform your fitness routine at home, at the gym or on-the-go with live and on-demand classes.

 

 

 

 

19. Tone It Up: Workout & Fitness

Whether you exercise at home, head to the gym or are just getting started with a workout routine, Tone It Up is the fitness app for you. As, Tone It Up offers daily workout and customized workout programs built by top personal trainers for incredible results.

Running

20. Charge Running: Live Coaching

Charge hosts LIVE running classes from the comfort of your own neighborhood or treadmill. While, each live run brings runners from all over the world together in one class where you can run, chat, and compete on our Live Leaderboard for the #1 spot!

 

 

 

 

 

Yoga

21. Yogaia: Yoga & Meditation

Furthermore, download the Yogaia app and experience yoga, meditation, cardio workouts, and strength training right in the convenience of your own home. So why not reach your wellbeing goals with our international team of stellar yoga teachers, mindfulness instructors, and personal trainers.

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Top 5 Screen Sharing Apps

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Coronavirus has kept us all isolated and at home. Many of us are experiencing a lockdown in our respective countries and we’re all looking for ways to keep in touch with one another. As we all are looking stay social with one another, because life’s better shared, right?! We’re also looking to do the things that we’d normally do with friends but find ways to do it online too. Here’s the Top 5 screen sharing apps!

Google Hangouts

Google Hangouts Meet allows you to connect with your team anywhere with video calls! It’s super simple to use, simply set up a meeting and share a link. You can have a total of 30 people in a call too!
Meet is fully intergrated into G Suite so you can join meeting through a Calendar or Email invite too! All the important details are there if you need them. G Suite’s enterprise edition allows a dial in phone number for each meeting. So everyone can join, even if they are on the move! Simply via 2 taps on a smartphone and an iOS/Android app.
All Google Hangout Meets are encrypted and safe to join, even if you are off site.

Zoom

Zoom is another really great option to keep in contact with people. It’s super easy to join and collaborate across any device. You can sync it with a calendar system (Google, Outlook, iCal) to schedule in chats easily. You can have HD video and audio for your meetings with support for up to an incredible 1000 p

articipants and have 49 participants on screen at once.

Furthermore you can record your meetings to the cloud or locally. Plus get auto-generated searchable transcripts! Collaborate with other people on the call and share screens simultaneously. Even co-annotate for a more interactive meeting. Share videos and photos, without uploading content with screen sharing.

Your calls are encrypted end to end, they have role-based user security, password protection, waiting rooms and even place an attendee on hold. There’s group chats available, searchable history, share files and there’s even a TEN YEAR archive!

Have a virtual background to look meeting-ready with ‘touch up my appearance’ Start Q and A’s to keep participants enganged, allow virtual hand raising and also track engagement of those involved with an attention indicator.

Furthermore there’s expaned audio options, with VoIP and toll-based dial-in for 55+ countries, global toll free and call out and dial in numbers.

Download: Apple / Google / Desktop

House Party – Lots of Fun 

Houseparty the biggest app right now during lockdown. Available on Android, iOS, iPad OS and macOS, the face to face social network focuses on video chats, quizzes and games to bring people together. Which is perfect when we can’t be together physically.

Houseparty has been around since 2016, but has surged in popularity during being stuck at home for long periods of time.

Houseparty has been called a more informal version of Google Hangouts, Microsoft Teams and Zoom. As Houseparty has quizzes and games in it too. So it’s more than just talking in front of a camera.

Download here: Apple / Google

Instagram Co-watch

launched a media sharing feature. This feature will allow you to view instagram posts together over video chat.

Firstly, start a video chat by tapping the video chat icon in the direct messaging inbox. While you can also do this in an existing thread too. Then view saved, liked and suggested photos/videos by tapping the photo icon in the bottom left hand corner of an ongoing video chat.

Download here: Apple / Google

Squad – Watch a number of things and screen share

Squad is a really cool app that allows you to hang out with friends over video chat and watch your favourite content together! Watch a YouTube video, a Tik Tok even a movie! Furthermore you can share your screen to play games or watch or share other content on places like Twitter or Facebook.
Share your screen to share websites to get ideas on what thing to buy, get help with research, get an opinion on some music, even have a little house party! The possibilities are endless!
It’s super super easy and the video quality is incredible too! There’s no lag when watching video content either. It’s perfectly synced up so both are you are watching it at the right time. No need to time it correctly!
Download here: Apple / Google

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Instagram Co-Watch

How To Use Instagram Co-Watch

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Coronavirus has kept us all isolated and at home. Many of us are experiencing a lockdown in our respective countries and we’re all looking for ways to keep in touch with one another. As we all are looking stay social with one another, because life’s better shared, right?! We’re also looking to do the things that we’d normally do with friends but find ways to do it online too. Introducing Instagram Co-Watch!

Well Instagram have come through with a brand new feature! They’ve launched a media sharing feature. This feature will allow you to view instagram posts together over video chat.

Firstly, start a video chat by tapping the video chat icon in the direct messaging inbox. While you can also do this in an existing thread too. Then view saved, liked and suggested photos/videos by tapping the photo icon in the bottom left hand corner of an ongoing video chat.

So what are you waiting for? Start up Instagram Co-Watch and connect with your friends and start sharing all of the latest meme’s, photography and videos that you all love. Share it with your friends and find ways to kill time whilst in lockdown!

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How many people will you kill?

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We’re all on lockdown at the moment here in the UK. Following in the footsteps of Italy, Spain and France. Though it may seem like it’s nothing to go out and live life as you normally would. You could be putting a silly amount of people at risk. So website How many people will you kill, helps to shock you into behaving correctly.

The site does some mathematical magic to work out how many people you will kill by going out. Potentially infecting people. Remember you may be infected and not even know it!

You put in your location, how many people will be there and an average age. It will give you a run down of how many people you’ll infect. Furthermore it will tell you of those infected how many people you will kill.

How Many People Will You Kill?

(The below information has been copied/pasted, we need it to be 100% accurate)

The calculator pulls in the latest figures for confirmed cases for each country and region. Due to limited testing, asymptomatic cases and a lag between contracting the virus and test results, the true numbers of infected people are much higher. This is evident when looking at the number of diagnosed cases vs true cases in the early stages of the spread in Hubei:

The proportion of undetected cases is estimated by comparing the measured fatality rate with the fatality rate in countries with the best testing, for instance South Korea. Higher fatality rates in a country are assumed to imply limited testing and hence more hidden cases.

The data from South Korea also depicts considerable variation in the number of confirmed cases across different age groups. Party-goers in their 20s are more likely to contract the virus than typically less sociable older people. This distribution is hidden in countries such as Italy, where only those with the most severe symptoms are tested:

Combining the recent infections data with the hidden case and age factors gives a probability that each of your attendees is infected.

Number of immediate infections

COVID-19 has proven to be very infectious, so it’s assumed that for small gatherings if anyone in your group has the virus, they’ll infect everyone else.

Crucially this means the expected number of direct infections scales as the square of the number of attendees. If you’re really set on holding an event, best not allow +1s as that’ll make the impact 4 times worse.

Long-term impact of these infections

Exponential growth means a small number of infections can quickly explode to a vast number, as has been seen around the world. For the countries still battling with the epidemic, we assume the worst (but very possible) scenario, that they fail to control the spread, and eventually 60% of the population become infected. For the countries who have demonstrated they can contain the disease. The number of possible final infections has been capped to a much smaller proportion of their population.

Your event is responsible for the infections it causes instantly as a fraction of all the infections at that time. Multiplied by the final number of infections. The expected deaths are estimated to be 1% of this figure.

There’s an argument that, in this worst-case scenario, the deaths would have happened anyway, with or without your event, you just make them happen sooner. In which case you’d need to calculate the extra pressure on the health care system, due to the larger and more sudden peak in infections. This approach would also work for considering the non-worst-case scenarios, where the disease is eradicated before it infects most of the population. This refinement can be added when the effectiveness of the European lockdowns becomes apparent.

(How Many People Will You Kill)

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